One should not also forget that a risk of a military clash between Russia and Ukraine in Kerch strait was also on the table of bilateral concerns back to crisis over Tuzla Island. It became clear, that an existing until recently quite reliable post-bipolar paradigm of the diplomatic communication and responsibility for the outspoken statements decreased the level of interstate trust dramatically since the end of the Cold War.
The behavior of the Russian president is quite instructive in this sense.
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There could be no other way around. On 18 March , Mr. I want to be very clear on that. In general, such unprecedented case of clumsy attempt to hide annexation as a key feature of the political rhetoric from the side of the Russian president not even touching upon statements by Russian Ministry for foreign affairs and Constant representative of the Russian Federation to the UN leaves less hope that dialog between the West and Russia could be easily restored soon on the basis of common understanding of bilateral problems for the sake of common possible solutions.
There is no need to discuss, why NATO matters. II, para 12a. This NATO-centrism, this attempt to preserve the divides represent a systemic problem, while the rest, including the tragedy in Ukraine, is derived from this division into friend or foe. At the same time, that was not a secret, according to the Foreign policy concept of the Russian Federation approved by president of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev on 15 July , that Russia maintained:. The case of a political disorder in Montenegro with anti-government protests in Podgorica on 24 October and one year later in October was not accidental.
Once Montenegrin Prime Minister Milo Djukanovic accused Russia of supporting Serbian nationalists in a bid to force a regime change in Themoscowtimes. Nevertheless, a formal invitation was issued by the Alliance on 2 December , with accession negotiations concluded with the signature of an accession protocol in May This time things went in more dangerous way.
In this respect, a special focus should be made on a Turkish-Russian regional knot. This touches upon not only jeered provocations with groups of Russian warplanes conducting large-scale maneuvers in international airspace against NATO member-countries all over the Black, Baltic and North seas and the Atlantic Ocean, or strategic plans of Kremlin towards Crimea. As President Putin pointed out:. By saying all these, such approach from the side of the Russian President exactly justifies the right of the Russian Federation to attack Ukraine, because it was a victim of the aggressive policy of NATO, of course, as Putin pretends to be sure.
That means that Ukraine as well as some other states is doomed to become hostages of the global competition between West and Russia. Obviously, the USA for many reasons cannot stay away from such developments and new American President Donald Trump has to give right answers sooner or later. A new American leader has to take into account that it was Russia itself which securitized the American factor to introduce it into a security discourse over Ukraine.
In the documentary, which marked a year since the referendum that saw Russia take control of Crimea,. The Russian leader said he warned the U. One should not underestimate a threat of the on-going nuclear rivalry in the Black Sea region as a Russian trend towards nuclearization of the peninsula. Russia, when crossed the red line with Ukraine in February-March , became the first former superpower, the first nuclear state with the second largest nuclear arsenal in the world and the first constant member of the UN Security Council to capture the territory of a neighboring country to integrate it into itself.
Ukraine Crisis: Summary, Explanation, Causes, Impact
In fact, Russia has used quite successfully such Western geopolitical purblindness. Moscow, in its turn, openly expressed its geopolitical will and made it clear to the West that Russia was ready to defend its security interests and satisfy own geopolitical ambitions by using military power neglecting international law. The case of annexation of Crimea showed up not only different strategies, but also resources to pursue purposes and defend interests.
Besides, by using it directly against Ukraine, Russia showed no reverence for the EU and the rest, because it looks like Moscow did not worry too much about outside reaction being in the epicenter of the strong international atmosphere of suspicions about Russian invasion in Crimea. They were only confirmed by Russian president Putin without any reliable chance to hide Russian involvement from the international community. The war imposed on Ukraine and Russian military aggression brought us decisively back to the times of the Cold War and revived the days of triumph for the neo-realists.
All this is rather dramatic, given that Russia is still an actor expanding its global influence. Any kind of world order based on multipolarity should presume, to our mind, sustainability of the global development and stability of an international system under mutual security guarantees which exclude direct military clash between those centers of power. Thus, Russia remains a great power, though already isolated one. At the same time, Kremlin has finally separated itself from the West and discarded Russia from the further discourse on creation of a common European and Euro-Atlantic security and cooperation framework.
Current military campaign in Syria, danger to lose word competitions, including possible boycott of the Football World Cup , and total militarization in response to the West fully corresponds to the military campaign of the USSR in Afghanistan, boycott of the Moscow Olympic Games and Star Wars military expenditures provocations to facilitate dissolution of the USSR in the end. All these give no perspectives for the further rapprochement between East and West if not Ukraine is sacrificed by actual and rising global powers for the sake of deceptive peace between two of them.
Even in this case all sides involved obtained another red line not to cross in order not to be associated with an isolated aggressor: the United Nations General Assembly on 19 December voted for a resolution on human rights in Crimea, which became the first international document designating the Russian Federation as an occupying power and the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol as a temporarily occupied territory; the resolution confirmed the territorial integrity of Ukraine and reaffirmed the non-recognition of the annexation of the Ukrainian peninsula UNIAN Information Agency Asmus, R.
In: Ronald D. Asmus, ed. BBC News, BBC News, a. BBC News, b. BBC News, c. Russians behind Montenegro coup attempt, says prosecutor Europe DW. COM European Council, Glebov, S. Sully, ed. Vienna, pp. UA: Ukraine Analytica, 1 3 , pp.
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Preview — Ukraine Crisis by Andrew Wilson. In this book, Andrew Wilson combines a spellbinding, on-the-scene account of the Kiev Uprising with a deeply informed analysis of what precipitated the events, what has developed in subsequent months, and why the story is far from over. The author then examines events in the wake of the Uprising—the military coup in Crimea, the election of President Petro Poroshenko, the Malaysia Airlines tragedy, rising tensions among all of Russia's neighbors, both friend and foe, and more. Ukraine Crisis provides an important, accurate record of events that unfolded in Ukraine in It also rings a clear warning that the unresolved problems of the region have implications well beyond Ukrainian borders.
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